Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.21 |
| +$0.21 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.330 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.61 | $0.217 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.059 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.17 | $0.245 | $0.53 | -$1.47 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.64 | $0.275 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.78 | $0.173 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.123 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 1.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $1 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.999 | $6.93 | May 9, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 236.25 | $0.008 | $1.89 | May 8, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.996 | $1.8 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.995 | $1.84 | May 7, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.999 | $7.45 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 10.34 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.49 | $0.160 | $0.88 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.377 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.160 | $0.92 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?Yes | buy | 12.6 | $0.072 | $0.91 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.150 | $0.92 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.320 | $0.95 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 8.95 | $0.520 | $4.65 | Apr 12, 2026 |