Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.28 | $0.680 | $6.3 | +$1.35 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.89 |
| $0.840 |
| $5.48 |
| +$0.53 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 61.88 | $0.080 | $3.4 | -$1.55 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 4.34 | $0.530 | $1.87 | -$0.43 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.43 | $0.770 | $1.38 | +$0.28 |
| sell |
| 2.07 |
| $0.982 |
| $2.03 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.997 | $2.97 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 61.88 | $0.080 | $4.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.860 | $4.95 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.700 | $4.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.57 | $0.210 | $4.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.530 | $4.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.68 | $0.570 | $4.95 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.995 | $5.89 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.71 | $0.070 | $4.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.620 | $4.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.630 | $4.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.690 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.680 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.324 | $3.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.490 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.440 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.658 | $3.29 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.453 | $4.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.860 | $4.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | buy | 49.5 | $0.100 | $4.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | sell | 3.03 | $0.200 | $0.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | sell | 30.49 | $0.034 | $1.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.960 | $1.45 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.840 | $4.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.170 | $4.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.630 | $4.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 6.43 | $0.770 | $4.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |