Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.13 | $0.240 | $1.95 | -$0.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.32 | $0.150 | $2.15 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.38 |
| $0.800 |
| $1.84 |
| -$0.06 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.9 | $0.630 | $1.82 | -$3.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 5.45 | $0.200 | $0.95 | -$0.14 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.31 | $0.612 | $0.88 | -$1.75 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 160 | $0.013 | $0.08 | -$2 |
| sell |
| 4.23 |
| $0.808 |
| $3.42 |
| 2d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.55 | $0.180 | $4.78 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 12.7 | $0.840 | $10.67 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 16d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.350 | $1.19 | 18d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.160 | $1.7 | 18d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.250 | $1.72 | 20d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.767 | $3.24 | 21d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.240 | $1.27 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.200 | $1.09 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.720 | $1.81 | 24d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.13 | $0.240 | $2.67 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.740 | $1.11 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.740 | $1.36 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.750 | $1.48 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.740 | $1.19 | 29d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.984 | $1.34 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.56 | $0.250 | $1.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.250 | $1.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.600 | $2.79 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.800 | $1.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.630 | $1.89 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.800 | $1.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.250 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.690 | $0.06 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.700 | $1.89 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 221.92 | $0.180 | $39.95 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 221.92 | $0.409 | $90.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 39.9 | $0.740 | $29.53 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 53.79 | $0.820 | $44.11 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.726 | $72.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.764 | $16 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.100 | $7.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Middle East" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.013 | $2.08 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.765 | $15.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.268 | $1.34 | Jul 15, 2026 |