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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2K | $0.500 | $1.72K | +$715 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.028 | $50 | Feb 9, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1.8K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.09K |
| +$189 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.8K | $0.500 | $711 | -$189 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 604.57 | $0.662 | $559.23 | +$159.23 |
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 451.14 | $0.960 | $450.46 | +$17.31 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | Yes | 500 | $0.500 | $287.5 | +$37.5 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.500 | $285 | -$715 |
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 293.6 | $0.907 | $266.44 | +$0.26 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $212.5 | -$37.5 |
EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 179.6 | $0.962 | $178.16 | +$5.45 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.028 | $47.32 | -$2.68 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 340.21 | $0.850 | $16.5 | -$272.67 |
| buy |
| 537.63 |
| $0.930 |
| $500 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.970 | $1K | Feb 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1K | Feb 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 350.88 | $0.570 | $200 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 652.82 | $0.766 | $500 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 537.63 | $0.930 | $500 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Feb 9, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.970 | $1K | Feb 9, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 652.82 | $0.919 | $600 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 511.85 | $0.977 | $500 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.878 | $34.23 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 24.08 | $0.937 | $22.56 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?Yes | buy | 62.73 | $0.319 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?Yes | buy | 54.5 | $0.220 | $12 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.210 | $8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | sell | 305.98 | $0.633 | $193.63 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?No | buy | 111.98 | $0.893 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?No | buy | 108.06 | $0.925 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?No | buy | 112.75 | $0.887 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.580 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 939.02 | $0.852 | $800 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 405.98 | $0.616 | $250 | Dec 8, 2025 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 258.8 | $0.966 | $250 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.950 | $500 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 526.36 | $0.038 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.961 | $20.44 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 85.6 | $0.930 | $79.61 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Infinex FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 444.19 | $0.969 | $430.47 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 113.67 | $0.920 | $104.58 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.983 | $0.98 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 221.28 | $0.940 | $208 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 51.06 | $0.940 | $48 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 104.08 | $0.961 | $100 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 329.67 | $0.910 | $300 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 186.14 | $0.967 | $180 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.880 | $1K | Nov 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.32K | $0.120 | $638.4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 675.68 | $0.370 | $250 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | sell | 11.64 | $0.960 | $11.17 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 137.49 | $0.960 | $132 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 69.47 | $0.950 | $66 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 557.63 | $0.763 | $425.47 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 85.11 | $0.940 | $80 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No | sell | 274.72 | $0.855 | $234.99 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Nov 24, 2025 |