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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.750 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.810 |
| $1.19 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.734 | $1.04 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.820 | $1.38 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.820 | $1.38 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.45 | $0.992 | $2.43 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.991 | $2.43 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.850 | $1.45 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.870 | $1.49 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.860 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.400 | $1.31 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Next US strike on Syria on December 16?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.992 | $1.36 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.27 | $0.370 | $1.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.972 | $1.58 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.910 | $1.49 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.998 | $1.17 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.620 | $1.12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.650 | $1.17 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.910 | $1.41 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.940 | $1.46 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.995 | $1.37 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.996 | $1.38 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.977 | $1.82 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.798 | $1.49 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.964 | $1.02 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.690 | $1.15 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.981 | $1.04 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.870 | $1.39 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.780 | $1.3 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.920 | $1.48 | Aug 15, 2025 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.994 | $1.45 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.930 | $1.27 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.810 | $0.92 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.890 | $1.02 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.680 | $1.03 | Jul 30, 2025 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.810 | $1.19 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 11?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.840 | $1.33 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.997 | $3.76 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2025 Travelers Championship?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.980 | $1.47 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Simon Yates finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.800 | $1.21 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 2?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.610 | $1.04 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 2?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.840 | $1.44 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 2.72 | $0.029 | $0.08 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.444 | $1.21 | May 27, 2025 |
Will MacKenzie Gore throw the most strikeouts in the MLB?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.500 | $0.6 | May 21, 2025 |
Will MacKenzie Gore throw the most strikeouts in the MLB?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.936 | $1.41 | May 14, 2025 |