Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 131.81 | $0.450 | $69.2 | +$9.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 407.29 |
| $0.145 |
| $50.91 |
| -$8.04 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 535.77 | $0.067 | $36.7 | +$0.7 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.68 | $0.605 | $30.75 | +$6.75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.67 | $0.782 | $26.53 | +$2.53 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 51.67 | $0.570 | $24.54 | -$4.91 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 46.43 | $0.388 | $14.39 | -$3.61 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12.06 | +$0.06 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10.78 | +$0.78 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.61 | +$0.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.18 | $0.398 | $6.79 | -$5.21 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 149.92 | $0.133 | $6.75 | -$13.24 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 63.42 | $0.095 | $6.63 | +$0.63 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.210 | $6.14 | +$0.14 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 55.49 | $0.108 | $4.16 | -$1.84 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.078 | $3.27 | -$2.73 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 193.42 | $0.060 | $3.19 | -$8.35 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 347.65 | $0.057 | $2.26 | -$17.73 |
| buy |
| 26.96 |
| $0.223 |
| $6 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.43 | $0.388 | $18 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.78 | $0.045 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.078 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.236 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.390 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.11 | $0.084 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.780 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.011 | $12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 171.43 | $0.070 | $12 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.790 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.010 | $12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 705.88 | $0.017 | $12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.700 | $6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.49 | $0.108 | $6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.360 | $6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 63.16 | $0.190 | $12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 622.15 | $0.029 | $18 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.220 | $12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 110.2 | $0.109 | $12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.340 | $12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.360 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.390 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 13.04 | $0.951 | $12.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 375.93 | $0.032 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 38.71 | $0.310 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 47.58 | $0.762 | $36.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 171.43 | $0.070 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.090 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.460 | $12 | Jul 23, 2026 |