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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.760 | $47.75 | +$9.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | 5d ago |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.500 |
| $12.1 |
| +$2.1 |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.300 | $11.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.598 | $5.42 | -$0.57 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12 | $0.480 | $5.34 | -$0.42 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 40.98 | $0.098 | $2.32 | -$1.7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.037 | $1.75 | -$1.95 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | Yes | 10 | $0.140 | $0.9 | -$0.5 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.530 |
| $5.3 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.784 | $31.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.120 | $1.32 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.094 | $9.41 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.550 | $8.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | sell | 6.25 | $0.380 | $2.38 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | sell | 3.22 | $0.310 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | sell | 12.5 | $0.450 | $5.63 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 49.98 | $0.086 | $4.3 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.882 | $44.1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.6 | $0.730 | $24.53 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | buy | 141.86 | $0.717 | $101.68 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | sell | 5.22 | $0.260 | $1.36 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 4.9 | $0.180 | $0.88 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | sell | 3.64 | $0.990 | $3.6 | Apr 10, 2026 |