Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 40 | $0.650 | $23 | -$3 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.300 |
| $10.25 |
| -$4.75 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18.5B by September 30? | No | 32 | $0.620 | $9.6 | -$10.24 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | No | 20 | $0.460 | $7.3 | -$1.9 |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 20 | $0.470 | $6.8 | -$2.6 |
 Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.320 | $5.5 | -$0.9 |
 Will Bournemouth be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | Yes | 60 | $0.070 | $3.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next? | Yes | 20 | $0.310 | $3.4 | -$2.8 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $2.28 | -$1.52 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.470 | $1.89 | -$0.15 |
 Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | Yes | 20 | $0.160 | $1.7 | -$1.5 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.370 | $1.7 | -$5.7 |
 Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.280 | $1.1 | -$4.5 |
 Will Michael Aondoakaa win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 7 | $0.270 | $0.56 | -$1.33 |
 Will Genoa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.53 | -$1.47 |
 Will Hull City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 60 | $0.051 | $0.48 | -$2.58 |
 Will Osasuna finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $0.47 | -$1.73 |
| sell |
| 26.4 |
| $0.260 |
| $6.86 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 7 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.200 | $9.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | sell | 60 | $0.550 | $33 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 120 | $0.520 | $62.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 120 | $0.520 | $62.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.490 | $58.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.210 | $20.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.490 | $58.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.210 | $20.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.490 | $58.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 48 | $0.800 | $38.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 48 | $0.800 | $38.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 48 | $0.800 | $38.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | 4d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.62 | 4d ago |
 Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.255 | $5.1 | 5d ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 7d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | sell | 14.58 | $0.114 | $1.66 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.633 | $31.63 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.080 | $1.44 | 7d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 7d ago |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.017 | $0.34 | 8d ago |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 8d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 8d ago |
 Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?Yes | sell | 38.11 | $0.060 | $2.29 | 8d ago |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.075 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | 8d ago |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 8d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 17.07 | $0.310 | $5.29 | 8d ago |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 9d ago |
 Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 9d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by September 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 9d ago |
 Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 3.73 | $0.047 | $0.18 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.400 | $2.8 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.600 | $4.2 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.240 | $0.11 | 10d ago |
 Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.440 | $0.05 | 10d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 10d ago |
 Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.120 | $0.24 | 10d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.390 | $0.64 | 10d ago |