Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.416 | $22.5 | -$102.3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.690 | $23.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 81.4 |
| $0.430 |
| $10.99 |
| -$24.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 75.76 | $0.264 | $10.42 | -$9.58 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $9.38 | -$0.63 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.720 | $7.25 | -$28.75 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 33.4 | $0.599 | $0.03 | -$19.97 |
| sell |
| 110 |
| $0.997 |
| $109.67 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 81.4 | $0.430 | $35 | May 15, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Yes | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.4 | $0.599 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.964 | $96.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.264 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 50.85 | $0.590 | $30 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | sell | 15.32 | $0.170 | $2.6 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 14.53 | $0.310 | $4.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | sell | 8.79 | $0.090 | $0.79 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | sell | 8.09 | $0.470 | $3.8 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.85 | $0.600 | $4.71 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.5 | $0.550 | $4.68 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | sell | 38.49 | $0.960 | $36.95 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 22.56 | $0.870 | $19.63 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 7.97 | $0.590 | $4.7 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 7.3 | $0.650 | $4.75 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.7 | $0.860 | $4.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.700 | $0.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.38 | $0.690 | $0.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.59 | $0.590 | $0.94 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.03 | $0.220 | $0.89 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.59 | $0.350 | $0.91 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.4 | $0.380 | $0.91 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.82 | $0.320 | $0.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.9 | $0.180 | $0.88 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.28 | $0.400 | $0.91 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.87 | $0.230 | $0.89 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.9 | $0.180 | $0.88 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 12.95 | $0.350 | $4.53 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.66 | $0.340 | $0.9 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 8.7 | $0.100 | $0.87 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | sell | 5.93 | $0.880 | $5.22 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.7 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | buy | 4.01 | $0.460 | $1.84 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | sell | 33.06 | $0.990 | $32.73 | Apr 6, 2026 |