Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 58.14 | $0.835 | $56.02 | +$7.48 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.760 | $0.05 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 23.92 |
| $0.880 |
| $23.45 |
| +$2.4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 19.14 | $0.865 | $18.56 | +$2.01 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 13.83 | $0.890 | $13.49 | +$1.18 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 10.02 | $0.869 | $9.5 | +$0.79 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 9.8 | $0.790 | $7.89 | +$0.15 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 9.38 | $0.693 | $6.71 | +$0.2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 7.34 | $0.870 | $6.5 | +$0.11 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 5.89 | $0.903 | $5.39 | +$0.07 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.34 | $0.890 | $5.17 | +$0.41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 5.2 | $0.866 | $5.08 | +$0.58 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5.55 | $0.760 | $4.55 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.57 | $0.530 | $4.54 | +$1.59 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 3.7 | $0.910 | $3.63 | +$0.26 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 4.06 | $0.310 | $3.17 | +$1.91 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.28 | $0.824 | $2.96 | +$0.26 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.18 | $0.880 | $2.75 | -$0.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2.8 | $0.785 | $2.67 | +$0.48 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.23 | $0.620 | $2.19 | +$0.81 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.99 | $0.898 | $1.79 | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.98 | $0.900 | $1.77 | -$0.01 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 8.71 | $0.234 | $1.7 | -$0.34 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.64 | +$0.54 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.340 | $1.54 | +$0.18 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 4.93 | $0.300 | $1.36 | -$0.12 |
| sell |
| 0.01 |
| $0.760 |
| $0.01 |
| 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.760 | $0.02 | 4h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.870 | $1.28 | 4h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.898 | $1.79 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.740 | $0.07 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.720 | $0.07 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.700 | $0.07 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.680 | $0.07 | 10h ago |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.790 | $1.26 | 11h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.670 | $0.15 | 12h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.710 | $1.3 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.640 | $0.06 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.640 | $0.06 | 13h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.88 | $0.150 | $0.58 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.590 | $0.11 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.540 | $1.04 | 21h ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.770 | $0.05 | 21h ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.770 | $1.42 | 23h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.170 | $0.1 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.150 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.140 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.140 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.150 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.130 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.130 | $0.05 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.130 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.130 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.140 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.47 | $0.140 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.130 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.890 | $1.74 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.120 | $0.06 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.120 | $0 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.120 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7.77 | $0.130 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.028 | $0 | 5d ago |