Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 24.91 | $0.700 | $17.44 | May 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.032 |
| $1 |
| May 8, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.260 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.270 | $1.5 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 8 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.087 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.310 | $1.75 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.630 | $10.5 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.128 | $2 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.140 | $0.75 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will "University of Pennsylvania" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.220 | $0.75 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 9.26 | $0.270 | $2.5 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" 3 or more times during his North Carolina rally?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.220 | $0.5 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Musk remains richest man through September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump attend Alabama vs. Georgia game?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.280 | $1.25 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Tua Tagovailoa retire by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Springfield" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.110 | $0.4 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "moderator" during his Arizona rally?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.190 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Arizona rally?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.140 | $0.3 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during his Arizona rally?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his Arizona rally?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.120 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.090 | $0.3 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.190 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.220 | $0.25 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.160 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Ja'Marr Chase play Week 1?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.380 | $2.11 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Schnell vs. DurdenSchnell | buy | 27.78 | $0.009 | $0.25 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.036 | $0.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Jordan Love placed on IR?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 8.06 | $0.310 | $2.5 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Bengals extend Ja'Marr Chase before regular season?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" at Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.200 | $0.5 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Ja'Marr Chase play Week 1?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 US Open: Sinner vs. DraperDraper | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris solo interview before debate?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.320 | $1.5 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Aug 28, 2024 |