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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.82 | $0.648 | $9.88 | -$2.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 10d ago |
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| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.120 |
| $4.63 |
| +$1.63 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4.38 | +$0.38 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4.31 | $0.927 | $4.15 | +$0.15 |
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2.71 | +$0.71 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.5 | -$0.5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.88 | $0.850 | $1.85 | +$0.25 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $1.79 | -$0.21 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.53 | -$1.48 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
| buy |
| 5.13 |
| $0.780 |
| $4 |
| 10d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18.52 | $0.271 | $5.02 | 15d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.850 | $1.6 | 27d ago |
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.833 | $1 | 28d ago |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.189 | $1 | 28d ago |
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.750 | $2.29 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.173 | $3.2 | 29d ago |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.740 | $3.04 | 29d ago |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Yes | sell | 12.02 | $0.039 | $0.47 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.720 | $1.83 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.083 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.410 | $12.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.720 | $2.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.393 | $2.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.480 | $15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.520 | $14.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.353 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 22.46 | $0.786 | $17.65 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.710 | $1.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.791 | $3.64 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.012 | $0.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 4.18 | $0.690 | $2.88 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 12.58 | $0.300 | $3.77 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 12.58 | $0.310 | $3.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.640 | $2.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.230 | $2.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.72 | $0.409 | $2.34 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.550 | $2.3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.361 | $2.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.755 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.950 | $3.15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 27.06 | $0.739 | $20 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.610 | $5.86 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.592 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.446 | $3.35 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.325 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.014 | $1.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.337 | $1.96 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?No | sell | 4.67 | $0.265 | $1.24 | Jul 17, 2026 |