Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
|
ManuelNexus is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #832,411 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$0.16 observed lifetime PnL, 15 resolved positions, a 93.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xc70a027b6d0e682f71b46ad78fd1165094c23802
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 4.44 |
| $0.450 |
| $2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?Up | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?Up | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?Up | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4AM ETUp | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?Up | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ETUp | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11AM ETUp | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11AM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10AM ETUp | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110.5K on August 27 at 4PM ET?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.982 | $3.56 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110.5K on August 27 at 4PM ET?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on August 21?Down | sell | 4.16 | $0.999 | $4.16 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3AM ETDown | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 21?Down | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4PM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Up | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ETUp | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 1.81 | $0.640 | $1.16 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 13.63 | $0.740 | $10.09 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ETUp | buy | 9.24 | $0.649 | $6 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?Up | sell | 16.94 | $0.190 | $3.22 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?Down | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?Up | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on August 19?Down | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on August 19?Up | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4000 on August 18?No | sell | 14.16 | $0.999 | $14.15 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4200 on August 18?Yes | sell | 7.08 | $0.999 | $7.07 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4000 on August 18?No | buy | 14.16 | $0.988 | $14 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4200 on August 18?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.847 | $6 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.