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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.02K |
| $0.410 |
| $1.24K |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 591.83 | $0.031 | $18.35 | May 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.070 | $175 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | sell | 5K | $0.053 | $264.83 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 12.46K | $0.093 | $1.16K | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 591.84 | $0.049 | $29 | May 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.080 | $200 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | buy | 5K | $0.228 | $1.14K | May 21, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 12.46K | $0.326 | $4.06K | May 21, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.68K | $0.265 | $1.77K | May 20, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.83K | $0.278 | $2.74K | May 20, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.464 | $719.72 | May 20, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.51K | $0.282 | $4.65K | May 19, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 22K | $0.230 | $5.06K | May 19, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 22K | $0.216 | $4.74K | May 17, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 18K | $0.270 | $4.87K | May 17, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 18K | $0.390 | $7.02K | May 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.6K | $0.330 | $4.82K | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.045 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.947 | $2.07K | Apr 20, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 336.42 | $0.071 | $23.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.64K | $0.360 | $2.03K | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.290 | $116 | Apr 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.94K | $0.280 | $4.46K | Apr 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 60.04 | $0.530 | $31.82 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 3.3K | $0.303 | $1K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.540 | $22.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 8.31K | $0.520 | $4.32K | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.42K | $0.999 | $4.41K | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.957 | $28.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.45K | $0.380 | $1.69K | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.990 | $1.69K | Feb 24, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.215 | $536.01 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 722.64 | $0.240 | $173.43 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 129.99 | $0.300 | $39 | Feb 9, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 2.3K | $0.983 | $2.26K | Feb 2, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 2.66K | $0.814 | $2.17K | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.180 | $360 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 90.75 | $0.498 | $45.18 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 240.49 | $0.200 | $48.1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 240.49 | $0.233 | $56.09 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.016 | $88 | Oct 29, 2025 |