Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 658.09 | $0.167 | $102 | -$8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 47.39 | $0.245 | $11.61 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 273.94 |
| $0.182 |
| $41.09 |
| -$8.91 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 35.97 | $0.417 | $18.08 | +$3.08 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Yes | 89.58 | $0.112 | $4.52 | -$5.48 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 243.94 | $0.033 | $4.51 | -$3.49 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 47.9 | $0.167 | $3.47 | -$4.53 |
| sell |
| 136.36 |
| $0.296 |
| $40.36 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 27.85 | $0.499 | $13.89 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 71.15 | $0.033 | $2.35 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 43.1 | $0.016 | $0.69 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 37.59 | $0.007 | $0.26 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.005 | $0.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.880 | $38.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 307.69 | $0.008 | $2.46 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.091 | $13.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 71.15 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 43.1 | $0.116 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.133 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 27.86 | $0.359 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Yes | buy | 89.58 | $0.112 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 67.37 | $0.148 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 52.9 | $0.026 | $1.38 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 128.21 | $0.911 | $116.76 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.9 | $0.167 | $8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.39 | $0.211 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 35.97 | $0.417 | $15 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 180 | $0.408 | $73.44 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.405 | $101.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 243.94 | $0.033 | $8 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.170 | $25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 378.22 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 232.91 | $0.086 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 273.94 | $0.183 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 590.72 | $0.169 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |