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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8.15K | $0.500 | $6.19K | +$2.12K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 20.82 | $0.820 | $17.07 | 17d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.66K |
| $0.803 |
| $4.07K |
| +$334.56 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 3.3K | $0.800 | $2.79K | +$148.5 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.15K | $0.500 | $1.96K | -$2.12K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2K | $0.934 | $1.92K | +$53 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1K | $0.830 | $865 | +$35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $186.2 | +$36.2 |
 Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1.95K | $0.016 | $2.93 | -$27.53 |
| sell |
| 4.66K |
| $0.880 |
| $4.1K |
| 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 4.4K | $0.800 | $3.52K | 19d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 3.7K | $0.982 | $3.63K | 19d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.940 | $2.35K | 19d ago |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 208.78 | $0.810 | $169.11 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.973 | $3.21K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.960 | $384 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.46K | $0.820 | $1.2K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 271.63 | $0.993 | $269.73 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 27.81 | $0.956 | $26.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.860 | $2.51K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.81 | $0.904 | $25.14 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.830 | $3.25K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 150.74 | $0.997 | $150.29 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 872.28 | $0.090 | $78.51 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.420 | $0.52 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No | sell | 2.38K | $0.993 | $2.37K | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 430.61 | $0.957 | $412.09 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 208 | $0.250 | $52 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 411.03 | $0.050 | $20.55 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 24.32 | $0.430 | $10.46 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.430 | $5.16 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.380 | $9.5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 7.86 | $0.640 | $5.03 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 17.14 | $0.650 | $11.14 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.730 | $18.25 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.905 | $4.53 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.770 | $2.75 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.590 | $472 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 3.6K | $0.350 | $1.26K | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 720.17 | $0.973 | $700.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 278.5 | $0.990 | $275.72 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No | buy | 1K | $0.770 | $770 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 8.07K | $0.984 | $7.94K | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 371.61 | $0.740 | $274.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 376.2 | $0.979 | $368.14 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 860.08 | $0.979 | $842.02 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.978 | $3.91K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.840 | $1.68K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?No | buy | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Mar 3, 2026 |