Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.583 | $42 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 63 |
| $0.830 |
| $52.29 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $62.97 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.790 | $49.77 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 437.96 | $0.114 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.567 | $56.18 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 294.61 | $0.102 | $30 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 66.8 | $0.749 | $50 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 51.92 | $0.963 | $50 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 106.61 | $0.938 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 |