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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.68K | $0.320 | $537.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 472.07 |
| $0.750 |
| $354.05 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 152.05 | $0.340 | $51.7 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 786.57 | $0.764 | $600.81 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.377 | $1.04K | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 58.09K | $0.600 | $34.84K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.640 | $60.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 652.08 | $0.639 | $416.51 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 412.67 | $0.827 | $341.18 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 63.76 | $0.740 | $47.18 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.750 | $23.75 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.22 | $0.680 | $23.95 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.09 | $0.740 | $23.75 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 39.16 | $0.670 | $26.24 | Apr 2, 2026 |