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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 15 | $0.730 | $14.9 | +$3.95 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 18 |
| $0.780 |
| $12.51 |
| -$1.53 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 13 | $0.726 | $10.47 | +$1.03 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.233 | $2.7 | +$0.14 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.240 | $2.2 | +$0.28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.170 | $1.08 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 7 | $0.200 | $0.95 | -$0.46 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 7 | $0.180 | $0.81 | -$0.45 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1 | $0.710 | $0.54 | -$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.180 | $0.36 | -$1.08 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.927 |
| $5.56 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.799 | $5.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.600 | $4.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.839 | $5.87 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.930 | $6.51 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.756 | $4.54 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.805 | $5.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.820 | $5.74 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.541 | $2.71 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.817 | $4.09 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.797 | $3.99 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jun 27, 2026 |