Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 309.52 | $0.950 | $294.04 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.28K |
| $0.950 |
| $3.11K |
| Jan 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 2.12K | $0.977 | $2.07K | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 495.42 | $0.985 | $487.99 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 4.86K | $0.943 | $4.59K | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 98.92 | $0.930 | $92 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 34 | $0.919 | $31.25 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 169.52 | $0.880 | $149.18 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 98.66 | $0.890 | $87.81 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 187.71 | $0.720 | $135.15 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 223.6 | $0.946 | $211.53 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.972 | $48.6K | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 720.42 | $0.973 | $700.97 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 5 | $0.976 | $4.88 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 5 | $0.939 | $4.69 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 5 | $0.953 | $4.77 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 5 | $0.947 | $4.73 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.690 | $1.27K | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 1.38K | $0.920 | $1.27K | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.706 | $42.35 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.820 | $193.52 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.550 | $0.55 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Eric Adams a Republican before April?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 158.2 | $0.996 | $157.57 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden appoint more judges than Trump?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 12.4K | $0.930 | $11.53K | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.930 | $0.43 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.780 | $1.45K | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 68.51 | $0.430 | $29.46 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached by Friday?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.350 | $24.5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 250 | $0.500 | $125 | Dec 4, 2024 |