Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 45.45 |
| $0.100 |
| $4.55 |
| Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 5.65 | $0.710 | $4.01 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.250 | $4.46 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | sell | 45.45 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1 | $0.686 | $0.69 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.790 | $4.7 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.300 | $4.55 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.710 | $1.02 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.720 | $0.22 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.500 | $4.9 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 4.18 | $0.770 | $3.22 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | sell | 40.34 | $0.120 | $4.84 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.140 | $4.67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 12.81 | $0.370 | $4.74 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | sell | 8.02 | $0.120 | $0.96 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.690 | $4.86 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.720 | $4.73 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionYes | sell | 6.66 | $0.760 | $5.06 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.180 | $4.74 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.730 | $5.07 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.140 | $4.67 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.360 | $1.89 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.740 | $4.86 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.760 | $4.93 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.830 | $4.88 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.520 | $4.9 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.41 | $0.320 | $0.45 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.480 | $4.7 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?Yes | sell | 9.19 | $0.226 | $2.08 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 23.74 | $0.110 | $2.61 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.820 | $4.82 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.710 | $0.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.842 | $4.99 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.880 | $5.36 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.560 | $4.99 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | sell | 8.89 | $0.580 | $5.16 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.740 | $0.06 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.370 | $5.14 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.879 | $1.18 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | sell | 8.59 | $0.582 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?No | sell | 5.82 | $0.852 | $4.96 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.680 | $5.07 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.620 | $4.69 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.863 | $3.92 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?No | sell | 5.78 | $0.865 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |