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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 462.09 | $0.693 | $311.91 | -$8.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.830 | $5.45 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.830 |
| $177 |
| +$11 |
| buy |
| 428.57 |
| $0.700 |
| $300 |
| 4d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 240.96 | $0.367 | $88.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 240.96 | $0.415 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.87 | $0.838 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerFURIA | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA | sell | 47.61 | $0.050 | $2.38 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 112.12 | $0.892 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68.77 | $0.956 | $65.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.080 | $1.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.78 | $0.630 | $43.33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.27 | $0.485 | $20 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?No | sell | 35 | $0.045 | $1.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.890 | $19.95 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?No | sell | 97.59 | $0.037 | $3.61 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?No | buy | 95.2 | $0.400 | $38.05 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.889 | $8.92 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 104.16 | $0.964 | $100.44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.06 | $0.889 | $31.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.41 | $0.610 | $48.44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 137.32 | $0.210 | $28.84 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 137.33 | $0.146 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.61 | $0.750 | $20.71 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 75.24 | $0.275 | $20.72 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.24 | $0.330 | $24.83 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 25.4 | $0.978 | $24.83 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 127.03 | $0.650 | $82.56 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 82.56 | $0.976 | $80.56 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 202.85 | $0.850 | $172.42 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Yes | buy | 86.89 | $0.092 | $8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Yes | buy | 105.35 | $0.095 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.169 | $1.07 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 202.84 | $0.809 | $164.01 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.309 | $2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 117.14 | $0.140 | $16.4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 196.44 | $0.090 | $17.68 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 535.93 | $0.002 | $1.07 | Nov 17, 2025 |