Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 421.18 | $0.014 | $1.47 | -$4.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.022 | $0.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 117.91 |
| $0.008 |
| $0.41 |
| -$0.59 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.022 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | Yes | 2.25 | $0.890 | $0.19 | -$1.81 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 25.38 | $0.039 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?Yes | sell | 194.35 | $0.004 | $0.69 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.015 | $1.07 | May 31, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 65.79 | $0.035 | $2.3 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?Yes | buy | 135.82 | $0.088 | $12 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?Yes | buy | 58.54 | $0.085 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?Up | buy | 169.04 | $0.030 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | sell | 190.39 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?Up | buy | 12.24 | $0.490 | $6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 117.91 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 421.18 | $0.014 | $6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | sell | 16.99 | $0.027 | $0.46 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.030 | $0.72 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 65.78 | $0.027 | $1.78 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?Yes | buy | 26.57 | $0.034 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?Yes | buy | 42.96 | $0.021 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?Yes | buy | 24.42 | $0.037 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.43 | $0.031 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 151.94 | $0.033 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.18 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 132.75 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |