Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 392.86 | $0.178 | $68.75 | -$1.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | 27d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 337.84 |
| $0.148 |
| $29.56 |
| -$20.44 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 387.75 | $0.470 | $25.2 | -$157.19 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 290.48 | $0.167 | $23.09 | -$25.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200.46 | $0.550 | $15.03 | -$95.33 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 70.42 | $0.710 | $12.32 | -$37.68 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.640 | $5.39 | -$24.61 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 69.44 | $0.360 | $4.86 | -$20.14 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.320 | $3.52 | -$11.48 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.428 | $1.58 | -$13.42 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $0.68 | -$4.32 |
| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.140 |
| $20 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 114.65 | $0.436 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 205.89 | $0.470 | $96.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 67.21 | $0.530 | $35.62 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 290.48 | $0.167 | $48.51 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 337.84 | $0.148 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.268 | $14.89 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 103.85 | $0.590 | $61.27 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 96.61 | $0.508 | $49.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 40.6 | $0.961 | $39.02 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 62.94 | $0.951 | $59.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.72 | $0.430 | $6.33 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.77 | $0.419 | $15 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.429 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.78 | $0.999 | $48.73 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.818 | $22.49 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.490 | $29.99 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 52.65 | $0.520 | $27.38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.61 | $0.493 | $20 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 128.2 | $0.940 | $120.51 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | sell | 47.37 | $0.905 | $42.87 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | buy | 28.91 | $0.639 | $18.46 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.961 | $17.47 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | buy | 18.46 | $0.650 | $12 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.990 | $12.86 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Yes | sell | 19.34 | $0.665 | $12.86 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Yes | buy | 19.34 | $0.517 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?100k | buy | 123.01 | $0.810 | $99.64 | Nov 4, 2025 |