Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $6.68 | +$5.68 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 3.6 |
| $0.278 |
| $3.35 |
| +$2.35 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 8.5 | $0.353 | $2.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 26.52 | $0.113 | $1.37 | -$1.63 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.370 | $0.88 | -$4.12 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.210 | $0.79 | -$2.21 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.67 | $0.131 | $0.65 | +$0.17 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.87 | $0.118 | $0.64 | -$1.36 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 9.81 | $0.153 | $0.64 | -$0.86 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.076 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.43 | -$0.58 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 15.42 | $0.195 | $0.16 | -$2.84 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.014 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 1.82 |
| $0.510 |
| $0.93 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2AM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1AM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12AM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9PM ETUp | buy | 4.42 | $0.200 | $0.88 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown | buy | 2.28 | $0.400 | $0.91 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9PM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.700 | $0.96 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.250 | $0.89 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7PM ETUp | buy | 3.71 | $0.500 | $1.86 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |