Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.900 | $53.86 | +$3.86 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.021 | $1.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 40 |
| $0.979 |
| $39.42 |
| +$0.26 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 30 | $0.944 | $29.82 | +$1.5 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.940 | $28.97 | +$0.77 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 29 | $0.954 | $28.41 | +$0.74 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 26 | $0.920 | $25 | +$1.08 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.920 | $24.21 | +$1.21 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 19.99 | $0.911 | $19.52 | +$1.31 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 42 | $0.763 | $8.4 | -$23.66 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1.04 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 18 |
| $0.994 |
| $17.89 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No | buy | 17.59 | $0.993 | $17.47 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.920 | $12.88 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.994 | $15.03 | May 21, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | May 21, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | May 21, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.630 | $13.86 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.989 | $27.69 | May 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.880 | $20.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.984 | $21.65 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 699.56 | $0.174 | $121.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 19.1 | $0.993 | $18.97 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.001 | $1.39 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.982 | $24.55 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.954 | $27.67 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 38.78 | $0.990 | $38.39 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.985 | $22.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.070 | $3.15 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.860 | $10.32 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 27 | $0.995 | $26.87 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 29.28 | $0.910 | $26.64 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 533.93 | $0.052 | $27.59 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 48 | $0.994 | $47.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 30 | $0.929 | $27.87 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 14.83 | $0.985 | $14.6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 17.26 | $0.985 | $17 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 40 | $0.981 | $39.24 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 27.58 | $0.967 | $26.67 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 42.46 | $0.994 | $42.21 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 11.71 | $0.820 | $9.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.001 | $1.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.982 | $42.96 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorTate | buy | 23.57 | $0.819 | $19.3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 27.58 | $0.960 | $26.48 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 15.18 | $0.988 | $15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.982 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 82.03 | $0.050 | $4.1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.78 | $0.530 | $15.78 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 36.13 | $0.070 | $2.53 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Unit launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.959 | $18.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 20.51 | $0.996 | $20.43 | Nov 18, 2025 |