Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 352.36 | $0.877 | $332.98 | +$23.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 293.75 | $0.374 | $110 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 348.93 |
| $0.860 |
| $312.29 |
| +$12.3 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 279.64 | $0.940 | $272.23 | +$9.23 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 237.58 | $0.842 | $222.13 | +$22.13 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 212.99 | $0.939 | $204.9 | +$4.9 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 165.93 | $0.910 | $150.17 | -$0.83 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 293.75 | $0.374 | $133.66 | +$23.66 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $106.74 | +$6.74 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 110.81 | $0.740 | $104.72 | +$22.72 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $102.75 | +$2.75 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $102.75 | +$2.75 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 67.57 | $0.740 | $64.19 | +$14.19 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 67.57 | $0.740 | $62.5 | +$12.5 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 71.75 | $0.697 | $61.34 | +$11.34 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 26.32 | $0.760 | $24.34 | +$4.34 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 22.66 | $0.670 | $17.11 | +$1.93 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 85.97 | $0.350 | $12.25 | -$17.84 |
| buy |
| 165.93 |
| $0.910 |
| $151 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.74 | $0.894 | $40 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 64.58 | $0.712 | $46 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.62 | $0.975 | $103 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 279.64 | $0.940 | $263 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 212.99 | $0.939 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.47 | $0.890 | $109 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 139.06 | $0.928 | $129 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 237.58 | $0.842 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 386.35 | $0.950 | $367 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 367.02 | $0.940 | $345 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 110.81 | $0.740 | $82 | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 90.12 | $0.810 | $73 | May 2, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 71.75 | $0.697 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22.66 | $0.670 | $15.18 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 911.03 | $0.635 | $578.52 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | buy | 6.88 | $0.952 | $6.55 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.083 | $6.52 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 755.21 | $0.893 | $674.12 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 18.44 | $0.995 | $18.35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.170 | $6.07 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 24.27 | $0.504 | $12.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 27.41 | $0.987 | $27.05 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 219.07 | $0.955 | $209.11 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 312.45 | $0.960 | $300 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 314.94 | $0.953 | $300 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 114.93 | $0.870 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 24.27 | $0.824 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 27.43 | $0.729 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |