Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.016 | $45 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 933.33 |
| $0.015 |
| $14 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.012 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | sell | 1.07 | $0.990 | $1.06 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.001 | $1.27 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 986.75 | $0.051 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 281.25 | $0.032 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.019 | $40 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 174.13 | $0.271 | $47.21 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.025 | $8 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.08K | $0.049 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 174.14 | $0.057 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 67.5 | $0.148 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.290 | $400 | Aug 20, 2025 |