Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.460 | $39.67 | -$10.33 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | 8d ago |
|
| No |
| 13.98 |
| $0.830 |
| $10.69 |
| -$0.91 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 7.35 | $0.680 | $6.8 | +$1.8 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 7.35 | $0.680 | $6.65 | +$1.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3.34 | +$0.34 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2.73 | +$0.73 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $2.58 | +$0.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.330 | $2.44 | +$0.48 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.280 | $1.82 | -$4.18 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.420 | $1.26 | -$3.74 |
 Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $0.93 | -$1.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.590 | $0.84 | -$2.16 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5.17 | $0.580 | $0.75 | -$2.25 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.090 | $0.21 | -$0.7 |
| buy |
| 13.98 |
| $0.830 |
| $11.6 |
| 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.330 | $1.96 | 10d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | 20d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.225 | $2.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.097 | $1.07 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 5.58 | $0.700 | $3.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?Up | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26.39 | $0.720 | $19 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.179 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.090 | $1.01 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of January?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 25 | $0.808 | $20.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.3 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.924 | $16.49 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 8 | $0.820 | $6.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.233 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.840 | $15 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.078 | $0.78 | Dec 6, 2025 |