Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 39.22 | $0.510 | $21.37 | +$1.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.89 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 12.65 |
| $0.850 |
| $11 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 16 | $0.430 | $7.92 | +$1.04 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 10.52 | $0.460 | $5.73 | +$0.89 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.72 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.570 | $1.57 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.440 | $1.37 | +$0.18 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 11 | $0.220 | $1.16 | -$1.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.410 | $1.04 | -$0.19 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.81 | -$0.51 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.39 | -$1.11 |
| buy |
| 39.22 |
| $0.510 |
| $20 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.690 | $4.3 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.44 | $0.480 | $4.53 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.89 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | 27d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 28d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 49.75 | $0.402 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.690 | $2.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.510 | $2.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 39.84 | $0.502 | $20 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.498 | $1.88 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.710 | $2.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.630 | $4.72 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 25.31 | $0.800 | $20.25 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.510 | $4.68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in Georgia?Yes | buy | 14.56 | $0.857 | $12.47 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.620 | $5.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 30.19 | $0.670 | $20.23 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.630 | $4.96 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.76 | $0.510 | $20.28 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.450 | $3.87 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.660 | $4.69 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 27.36 | $0.750 | $20.52 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No | buy | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 33.55 | $0.600 | $20.13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |