Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.959 | $1.22 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 17.13 | $0.998 | $17.1 | 14d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 17.22 |
| $0.999 |
| $17.2 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?Yes | buy | 104.09 | $0.999 | $103.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 105.65 | $0.999 | $105.55 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 105.19 | $0.998 | $104.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 105.35 | $0.999 | $105.25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 103.98 | $0.999 | $103.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 103.88 | $0.999 | $103.78 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.972 | $3.3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 103.38 | $0.999 | $103.28 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 103.28 | $0.997 | $102.97 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 102.96 | $0.999 | $102.86 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 92.23 | $0.999 | $92.14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 92.14 | $0.999 | $92.05 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 92.05 | $0.999 | $91.96 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 90.76 | $0.999 | $90.67 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $420 in January?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.972 | $1.24 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.959 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.987 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 106.11 | $0.999 | $106 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 20?No | buy | 99.68 | $0.999 | $99.58 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 640 | $0.002 | $1.28 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 6?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.860 | $1.8 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.950 | $1.45 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.974 | $1.14 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Blue Jackets vs. PanthersBlue Jackets | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Blue Jackets vs. DevilsDevils | buy | 7.14 | $0.590 | $4.21 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 105.21 | $0.998 | $105 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 30?No | buy | 620 | $0.002 | $1.24 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 110.11 | $0.999 | $110 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.880 | $1.45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.996 | $1.45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.25 in October?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.999 | $1.9 | Nov 15, 2025 |