Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29K | $0.001 | $29 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.001 |
| $3 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.69K | $0.004 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 107.79 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 24.66 | $0.203 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.883 | $34.44 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.86 | $0.162 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.019 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 597.06 | $0.042 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 585.45 | $0.034 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 25K | $0.002 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 14K | $0.001 | $14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.520 | $20.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.166 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.008 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |