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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 194.13 | $0.273 | $14.56 | -$38.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 36.86 | $0.261 | $9.61 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 47.36 |
| $0.266 |
| $6.99 |
| -$5.62 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 39.88 | $0.321 | $5.78 | -$7.04 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $3.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.210 | $3.69 | -$1.31 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 91.53 | $0.076 | $3.62 | -$3.38 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.71 | -$2.29 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2.2 | +$0.2 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 39.22 | $0.153 | $2.16 | -$3.84 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 19.19 | $0.210 | $2.11 | -$1.92 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | $0.116 | $1.7 | -$3.3 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 20.84 | $0.240 | $1.56 | -$3.44 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.72 | $0.212 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.86 | $0.059 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.51 | $0.350 | $1.04 | -$0.54 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 51.1 | $0.019 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 12.11 | $0.083 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $1 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.86 | $0.059 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.34 | $0.052 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.62 | $0.130 | $1.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.999 | $1.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.160 | $2.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.810 | $0.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.890 | $3.29 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 3.12 | $0.360 | $1.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.93 | $0.238 | $0.94 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 56.15 | $0.130 | $7.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.730 | $1.07 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.968 | $4.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.905 | $3.78 | May 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.626 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.580 | $1.88 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.17 | $0.971 | $7.93 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.11 | $0.280 | $2.55 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.760 | $1.55 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.120 | $1.38 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.730 | $1.62 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.356 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 51.1 | $0.020 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.19 | $0.210 | $4.03 | May 4, 2026 |