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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9.43 | +$0.43 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
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| No |
| 7.22 |
| $0.970 |
| $7.1 |
| +$0.1 |
Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5.18 | +$0.18 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 4.26 | $0.985 | $4.22 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5 |
| May 12, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.978 | $7 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.986 | $9 | May 12, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.993 | $7 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.948 | $6 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 6.98 | $0.780 | $5.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?No | buy | 13.47 | $0.968 | $13.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.35 | $0.977 | $15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.964 | $6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija GolubicAnna Bondar | buy | 4.88 | $0.810 | $3.95 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Savannah: Michael Mmoh vs Franco RoncadelliMichael Mmoh | buy | 15.33 | $0.840 | $12.88 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Shymkent: Mili Poljicak vs Antoine GhibaudoMili Poljicak | buy | 12.41 | $0.880 | $10.92 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 22?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.980 | $9.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 22?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.960 | $4.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 61.67 | $0.988 | $60.93 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8 | $0.936 | $7.49 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.859 | $6 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 13?No | buy | 9.03 | $0.997 | $9 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 24.19 | $0.998 | $24.14 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.985 | $4.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 61.68 | $0.989 | $61 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.4%?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Feb 26, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.950 | $14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.780 | $3.35 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | buy | 9.08 | $0.991 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.992 | $24 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 21.34 | $0.937 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?No | buy | 55.77 | $0.979 | $54.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation be lower than 1.5% in October?No | buy | 32.06 | $0.998 | $32 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in September?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.988 | $4.05 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 56.99 | $0.930 | $53 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 13.48 | $0.890 | $12 | Oct 13, 2025 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.995 | $20.87 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 22?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.992 | $21 | Aug 22, 2025 |