Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.8 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.900 | $9.68 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.490 | $4.45 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.200 | $1.38 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 166.67 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | sell | 22.03 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.110 | $0.65 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | sell | 5.05 | $0.890 | $4.49 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.98 | $0.390 | $1.94 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.79 | $0.700 | $1.96 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.680 | $1.95 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.930 | $2.38 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.59 | $0.540 | $1.94 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.4 | $0.440 | $10.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 1.89 | $0.890 | $1.68 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.55 | $0.060 | $1.53 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | sell | 2.27 | $0.920 | $2.09 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 2.42 | $0.871 | $2.11 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.826 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?No | sell | 4.49 | $0.971 | $4.36 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.750 | $4.69 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.760 | $3.93 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.500 | $0.56 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.500 | $2.01 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 12 above $405?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.082 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.54 | $0.973 | $10.26 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.091 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |