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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 190 | $0.850 | $170.05 | +$8.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.99 |
| $0.988 |
| $4.93 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.253 | $1.26 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.967 | $4.84 | May 31, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | May 31, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.900 | $97.2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.039 | $101.4 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.036 | $39.6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 2K | $0.890 | $1.78K | Feb 11, 2026 |
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.078 | $288.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.076 | $0.76 | Feb 10, 2026 |