Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 140.96 | $0.709 | $119.11 | +$19.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 106.38 |
| $0.940 |
| $102.18 |
| +$2.18 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 37.5 | $0.800 | $36.09 | +$6.09 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 29.99 | $0.803 | $29.44 | +$5.34 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $12.29 | +$2.29 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.69 | +$0.99 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | $0.750 | $4.65 | -$2.85 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $3.8 | +$0.1 |
| buy |
| 140.96 |
| $0.709 |
| $100 |
| 4d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 337.5 | $0.800 | $270 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.014 | $41.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.028 | $30 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.998 | $10.39 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.839 | $8.39 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.938 | $9.38 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Hillary Clinton federally charged by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.680 | $4.86 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.520 | $65 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.670 | $5.03 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 7.49 | $0.750 | $5.62 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 9.77 | $0.190 | $1.86 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?No | sell | 1 | $0.650 | $0.65 | Sep 2, 2025 |