Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 338.22 | $0.887 | $325.2 | +$25.2 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 110.62 |
| $0.904 |
| $105.7 |
| +$5.7 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.983 | $19.94 | +$0.28 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.962 | $19.7 | +$0.46 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.16 | $0.815 | $11.7 | +$1.8 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $9.76 | +$0.96 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10 | $0.984 | $9.74 | -$0.11 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.905 | $9.69 | +$0.64 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $7.05 | +$2.05 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $3.18 | +$2.18 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.250 |
| $1 |
| 26d ago |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino AND Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard | buy | 2.72 | $0.724 | $1.97 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.999 | $1.4K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.998 | $1.17K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 17?No | sell | 5.97 | $0.550 | $3.28 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 26.94 | $0.500 | $13.47 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 66.72 | $0.630 | $42.03 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.560 | $3.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.725 | $144.89 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.365 | $54.73 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 17?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.480 | $3.72 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?No | sell | 131.65 | $0.290 | $38.18 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.490 | $0.25 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?Yes | sell | 8.63 | $0.670 | $5.78 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?Yes | sell | 30.05 | $0.530 | $15.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?No | sell | 17.07 | $0.450 | $7.68 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?Yes | sell | 32.34 | $0.280 | $9.06 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 16?No | sell | 14.26 | $0.450 | $6.42 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?No | sell | 13 | $0.514 | $6.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?No | sell | 15.61 | $0.460 | $7.18 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?No | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 28.13 | $0.470 | $13.22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 16?No | sell | 134.94 | $0.352 | $47.52 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?No | sell | 143.22 | $0.323 | $46.19 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.490 | $1.38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?Yes | sell | 90.18 | $0.335 | $30.22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?Yes | sell | 16.75 | $0.420 | $7.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.450 | $40.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?No | sell | 10.69 | $0.360 | $3.85 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | sell | 624 | $0.998 | $622.64 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?No | sell | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.610 | $3.45 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?No | sell | 36.66 | $0.640 | $23.46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?No | sell | 6.34 | $0.280 | $1.78 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.998 | $1.6K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | sell | 100.2 | $0.999 | $100.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.999 | $1.47K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?Yes | sell | 60.65 | $0.490 | $29.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?Yes | sell | 56.25 | $0.502 | $28.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 30?Yes | sell | 111.29 | $0.641 | $71.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |