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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 514 | $0.998 | $512.97 | Nov 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 3.07 |
| $0.978 |
| $3 |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 517.16 | $0.999 | $516.64 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.874 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.910 | $1.04 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.995 | $2.18 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
US tariffs on European cars before May?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
U.S. Federal judge impeached before July?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.899 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.925 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in February?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Bybit insolvent before April?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 21.62 | $0.972 | $21.01 | Oct 16, 2024 |
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Jul 30, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |