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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 820 | $0.859 | $717.5 | +$13.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 99.93 | $0.880 | $87.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.790 |
| $149 |
| -$9 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.620 | $88.5 | +$26.5 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99.93 | $0.880 | $88.44 | +$0.5 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.600 | $52.5 | -$7.5 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.395 | $45.35 | +$5.87 |
| sell |
| 78 |
| $0.995 |
| $77.61 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenRico | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | May 23, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.867 | $64.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.860 | $602 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 64.23 | $0.395 | $25.35 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.660 | $31.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.620 | $310 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 61 | $0.620 | $37.82 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.056 | $5.6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.901 | $90.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $4.96 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 195 | $0.920 | $179.4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 95 | $0.570 | $54.15 | Jul 22, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 47 | $0.830 | $39.01 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.840 | $6.02 | Jul 14, 2025 |