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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5K | $0.220 | $675 | -$425 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.620 | $2.5K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| No |
| 900 |
| $0.570 |
| $445.5 |
| -$67.5 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $64.85 | -$22.15 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 500 | $0.220 | $57.5 | -$52.5 |
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes| buy |
| 709.3 |
| $0.705 |
| $500 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.840 | $2.5K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 401.26 | $0.120 | $48.15 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.52K | $0.004 | $14.08 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.936 | $1.04K | May 29, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.830 | $498 | May 29, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.734 | $146.82 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.033 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 135.24 | $0.739 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.063 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 475.63 | $0.210 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 490.83 | $0.204 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 401.26 | $0.748 | $300 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 838.09 | $0.271 | $226.75 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No | buy | 140.98 | $0.709 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No | buy | 404.23 | $0.732 | $296.01 | May 22, 2026 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.790 | $1K | May 21, 2026 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No | buy | 279.09 | $0.773 | $215.62 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 601.67 | $0.900 | $541.5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 185 | $0.630 | $116.55 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | buy | 309 | $0.770 | $237.93 | May 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | May 16, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.630 | $1.28K | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.220 | $1.1K | May 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 900 | $0.570 | $513 | May 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 8.31 | $0.870 | $7.23 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.310 | $124 | May 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 404.86 | $0.247 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 423.17 | $0.236 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 274.94 | $0.364 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 117.12 | $0.213 | $25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |