Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 119.64 | $0.770 | $92.07 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 182.84 |
| $0.560 |
| $102.39 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?Yes | buy | 102.39 | $0.857 | $87.77 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 24.29 | $0.800 | $19.43 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crooked Hillary" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.930 | $60 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.870 | $60 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Roku say "Hour" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 17.13 | $0.904 | $15.49 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple say "Siri" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Uber say "Innovation" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 96.31 | $0.519 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?No | buy | 101.24 | $0.988 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 95.6 | $0.977 | $93.4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No | buy | 90.51 | $0.983 | $88.97 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Kimmel say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during return show on September 23?No | buy | 88.97 | $0.950 | $84.52 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?No | buy | 102.89 | $0.972 | $100 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 83.2 | $0.980 | $81.54 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?No | buy | 101.32 | $0.987 | $100 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No | buy | 140.73 | $0.920 | $129.47 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fox News interview on September 18?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.980 | $40 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 116.76 | $0.894 | $104.38 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 83.89 | $0.988 | $82.92 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200.98 | $0.022 | $4.42 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 52.71 | $0.979 | $51.6 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Apple" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.969 | $34 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Next Generation" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 43.41 | $0.921 | $40 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 57.82 | $0.940 | $54.35 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.948 | $51.19 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?No | buy | 140.64 | $0.898 | $126.28 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?No | buy | 104.83 | $0.870 | $91.2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 220.34 | $0.985 | $217.03 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?No | buy | 107.13 | $0.933 | $100 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 51.6 | $0.969 | $50 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.976 | $20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)No | buy | 61.6 | $0.780 | $48.05 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Epstein" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?No | buy | 48.06 | $0.900 | $43.25 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Washington" or "DC" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Automotive" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 56.44 | $0.950 | $53.62 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Gaming" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.983 | $101.25 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200.98 | $0.385 | $77.34 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "China" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.979 | $77.34 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?No | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 220.35 | $0.780 | $171.87 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "China" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.970 | $76.63 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Inference" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.978 | $88.96 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 117.44 | $0.984 | $115.56 | Aug 18, 2025 |