Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionYes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.969 | $1.7 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.978 | $1.82 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.957 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.987 | $1.04 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.989 | $1.03 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.966 | $1.8 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.910 | $2.4 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.920 | $2.2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | May 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |