Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.920 | $102.83 | +$2.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Yes |
| 105.26 |
| $0.950 |
| $92.11 |
| -$7.89 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 292.46 | $0.350 | $71.65 | -$30.71 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 54.95 | $0.910 | $51.37 | +$1.37 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? | No | 50.71 | $0.986 | $47.44 | -$2.56 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.760 | $28.62 | -$1.38 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 14.53 | $0.688 | $13.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 54.21 | $0.184 | $10.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $7.08 | -$2.92 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.360 | $6.81 | -$3.19 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $4.47 | -$5.53 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 105.26 |
| $0.950 |
| $100 |
| 9d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?No | buy | 50.71 | $0.986 | $50 | 9d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.16 | $0.150 | $2.57 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 17.17 | $0.291 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.470 | $8.39 | 24d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 153.94 | $0.974 | $150 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 154.64 | $0.970 | $150 | 26d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.002 | $0.44 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 54.21 | $0.184 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.310 | $5.64 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.36 | $0.989 | $40.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?No | buy | 50.31 | $0.994 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?No | buy | 50.82 | $0.984 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.990 | $75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 99.32 | $0.856 | $85.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 31.15 | $0.963 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.907 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?No | buy | 11.88 | $0.842 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 51.98 | $0.962 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?No | buy | 20.53 | $0.974 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 358.02 | $0.990 | $354.44 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 116.75 | $0.985 | $115 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 107.41 | $0.959 | $103.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 152.13 | $0.986 | $150 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 51.12 | $0.978 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 45.56 | $0.658 | $30 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?Yes | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 30.36 | $0.988 | $30 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |