Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 427.66 | $0.169 | $195.23 | +$122.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 43.85 |
| $0.310 |
| $43.74 |
| +$30.15 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 27.89 | $0.330 | $23.29 | +$14.08 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.100 | $16.2 | +$14.2 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.230 | $0.75 | -$1.55 |
| sell |
| 61.25 |
| $0.710 |
| $43.49 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No | buy | 91.36 | $0.850 | $77.66 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 191.66 | $0.377 | $72.21 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 99.97 | $0.124 | $12.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 68.47 | $0.131 | $8.97 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.08 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 31.99 | $0.131 | $4.19 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.131 | $10.87 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.131 | $3.93 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.129 | $6.45 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.129 | $3.87 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 98.32 | $0.130 | $12.82 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 94.93 | $0.130 | $12.38 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $12.99 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13.05 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13.02 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.720 | $4.41 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 70.45 | $0.330 | $23.25 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.126 | $37.83 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 52.82 | $0.460 | $24.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.136 | $13.61 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.136 | $13.6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 82.57 | $0.540 | $44.59 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | sell | 196.02 | $0.250 | $49.01 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.741 | $14.82 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.169 | $2.7 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | sell | 100.1 | $0.430 | $43.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.13 | $0.237 | $2.64 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?No | sell | 49 | $0.140 | $6.86 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 116.36 | $0.120 | $13.99 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 109.13 | $0.125 | $13.59 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jan 1, 2026 |