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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 54.37 | $0.938 | $45.59 | -$5.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.979 | $3.6 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.2 |
| $0.968 |
| $6.15 |
| +$0.15 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 6.24 | $0.961 | $6.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | No | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4.27 | $0.936 | $4.18 | +$0.18 |
| buy |
| 5.12 |
| $0.977 |
| $5 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.937 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.949 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.961 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.936 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.962 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 12.41 | $0.806 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 54.37 | $0.938 | $51 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 22?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.970 | $5.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 22?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 22?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.973 | $9.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 22?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.940 | $14.91 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 4.45 | $0.899 | $4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on April 22?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.992 | $10.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 22?No | buy | 15.18 | $0.987 | $14.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.994 | $14.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.970 | $11.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.970 | $13.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.971 | $4.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 9.5 | $0.421 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?No | buy | 24.12 | $0.995 | $24 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15.58 | $0.963 | $15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 16.82 | $0.880 | $14.8 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 15-21?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.945 | $21 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 15-21?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 15-21?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?No | buy | 55.23 | $0.995 | $54.93 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?No | buy | 46.56 | $0.988 | $46 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during speech on October 14?No | buy | 60.82 | $0.969 | $58.93 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 13?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 14.17 | $0.988 | $14 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.120 | $12 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?No | buy | 28.26 | $0.991 | $28 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?No | buy | 14.03 | $0.998 | $14 | Jul 29, 2025 |