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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.244 | $10.01 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $5 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 151.06 | $0.046 | $7 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.240 | $14 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?No | buy | 405.14 | $0.035 | $14 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 48.75 | $0.205 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 68.75 | $0.160 | $11 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.72 | $0.990 | $71 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.73 | $0.920 | $65.99 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 995 | $0.002 | $1.99 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.078 | $15.91 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.020 | $3.12 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 319.99 | $0.094 | $30.12 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 752 | $0.160 | $119.99 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.003 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.002 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 92.17 | $0.023 | $2.12 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 348.56 | $0.095 | $33.11 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 148.05 | $0.043 | $6.3 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.003 | $6.3 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 23.17 | $0.521 | $12.07 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 23.17 | $0.331 | $7.67 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 480.07 | $0.016 | $7.68 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 480.07 | $0.043 | $20.61 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 247.11 | $0.038 | $9.39 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 447.3 | $0.017 | $7.75 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 192.14 | $0.014 | $2.69 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 186.36 | $0.033 | $6.15 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.001 | $2.02 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.39K | $0.002 | $6.78 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | sell | 592.26 | $0.013 | $7.7 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 566.56 | $0.018 | $10.02 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | buy | 260.05 | $0.019 | $5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 81.6 | $0.049 | $4 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.033 | $15 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Yes | buy | 79.75 | $0.113 | $9 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 43.63 | $0.050 | $2.18 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |