Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 192.57 | $0.013 | $1.25 | -$1.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.04 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 64.45 | $0.155 | $0.39 | -$9.61 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.13 | -$1.88 |
| sell |
| 1.44 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.18 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.042 | $1.45 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.670 | $4.78 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 41.28 | $0.110 | $4.54 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.996 | $6.91 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 31.64 | $0.207 | $6.55 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 11.87 | $0.670 | $7.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.48 | $0.372 | $11.34 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.36 | $0.576 | $10.58 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.19 | $0.036 | $3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 64.45 | $0.155 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.49 | $0.164 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 41.28 | $0.121 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.197 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 11.87 | $0.590 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.364 | $1.41 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 53.78 | $0.056 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.099 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.82 | $0.027 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 33.6 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 31.65 | $0.158 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?Yes | buy | 70.93 | $0.042 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,500,000 and 2,700,000?Yes | buy | 32.63 | $0.031 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.36 | $0.054 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Colombia next?Yes | buy | 522.17 | $0.005 | $2.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Silver | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $102,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |