Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.002 | $0.33 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 90.9 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.91 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.320 | $14 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.85 | $0.015 | $0.24 | May 17, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 196.66 | $0.090 | $17.7 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 196.67 | $0.120 | $23.6 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.051 | $0.94 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.035 | $1.52 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 34.57 | $0.370 | $12.79 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.700 | $1.75 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.400 | $2.22 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.21 | $0.389 | $6.31 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.630 | $1.23 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.21 | $0.370 | $6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.73 | $0.494 | $30 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.36 | $0.363 | $38.61 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.36 | $0.354 | $37.65 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.061 | $0.43 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 103.7 | $0.370 | $38.37 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 127.17 | $0.008 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.017 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.159 | $0.93 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.053 | $0.96 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.190 | $5.76 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.123 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.110 | $14.92 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.135 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | buy | 23.06 | $0.043 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | buy | 430.79 | $0.002 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | sell | 199.62 | $0.055 | $10.93 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.22 | $0.016 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 174.83 | $0.006 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |