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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.520 | $865 | +$345.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.710 |
| $855 |
| +$145 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.810 | $760.5 | -$292.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 800 | $0.520 | $444 | +$28 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 1.98K | $0.200 | $405.39 | +$9.9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 499.82 | $0.360 | $217.42 | +$37.49 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.100 | $190 | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20K | $0.003 | $30 | -$29.99 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 501 | $0.200 | $4.26 | -$95.94 |
| buy |
| 158.5 |
| $0.360 |
| $57.06 |
| 6d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.06K | $0.080 | $164.7 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.003 | $60 | 9d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.080 | $81 | 11d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.080 | $300 | 11d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 787.1 | $0.880 | $692.54 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.032 | $90.99 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 685.48 | $0.710 | $486.69 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.01 | $0.037 | $7.03 | 16d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.9K | $0.444 | $1.73K | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 279.38 | $0.350 | $97.78 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 3.98K | $0.007 | $27.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.110 | $286 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.026 | $2.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.854 | $170.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.435 | $13.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Spread: England (-1.5)England | buy | 2.42K | $0.082 | $200 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.430 | $860 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 97.66 | $0.300 | $29.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.47K | $0.733 | $2.54K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 274.63 | $0.670 | $184 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.600 | $1.3K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.296 | $535.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 4.95K | $0.993 | $4.91K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.109 | $109 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 509.29 | $0.170 | $86.58 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.026 | $1.98 | May 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 28.72 | $0.180 | $5.17 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.140 | $280 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.150 | $270 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.270 | $1.03K | May 22, 2026 |
 Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | May 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.695 | $16.21 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.998 | $1.1K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.996 | $1.1K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 1K | $0.997 | $997 | May 15, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.97 | $0.427 | $38.83 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.124 | $19.59 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.825 | $288.79 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 553.51 | $0.110 | $60.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.210 | $504 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 635.68 | $0.190 | $120.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 281.9 | $0.320 | $90.21 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 19.65 | $0.470 | $9.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |